Why Labour Lost The Last Municipal Elections

Because it didn't take part in them. Although Arvin Boolell did tell us at one point in time that a list of candidates was almost ready. That was just before Navin Ramgoolam stormed into a critical meeting that would eventually have given voters -- especially labourites -- a lot more choice on the ballot paper. Ramgoolam essentially said that the governing parties had set a trap and Labour should avoid it. Understand by that that Arvin doesn't have the right profile. Mamou Ramgoolam also argued that the Labour Party didn't have the money to go into these elections as it didn't have access to its bank accounts.

That's kind of strange when you realise, for example, that the number of years that Dr. Boolell and Dr. Ramgoolam have been in politics add up to more than 50 years. Besides supporters of the Labour Party would certainly have pitched in one way or another to back any good ideas as they have been doing for almost eight decades now. Talking about a trap is also kind of hilarious when you recall what Ramgoolam, Berenger and Sithanen tried to do last December with an electoral reform that was both stupid -- as Mr. 40% + 40% = 80% confessed -- and dangerous. Mr. Bean who is celebrating his silver jubilee this year should definitely watch out for the competition.

And why did Labour lose the 2014 General Elections? Too much money? Profiles that are too perfect? Math skills that are otherworldly?

What Will Municipal Voters Do?

Vote for the MMM because Lepep ended up with about 10 MPs more than what was necessary? Or stick with Lepep based on what they've achieved in the first five months of their mandate? The plus points are mostly the increase in pension payments and fully subsidising the SC/HSC exams. The appointment of Ms. Fakim as head of state is definitely a history-making event but that doesn't really change the lot of the victims of the neocons.

The main negatives are the significant depreciation of our rupee while the BOM supposedly waited for the budget to set the tone, the joke of the Finance Minister claiming that his bland budget was a no-tax one, not passing on the collapse of oil prices and of course the BAI affair. The latter has embroiled Government into a thick cloud of confusion and suspicion that is not going away any time soon. Indeed the BAI saga is so far looking more like a political vendetta than a ponzi scheme. That's especially evident when you consider the kind of help our Governments have dished out to hubris-infected companies in the past. There have also been surprising statements by the President of the Bar Council and many are not happy with how the biometric ID project has evolved.

We'll find out on Monday how voters weighed the facts.

2012: The Year in Review (Q4)

October: PRB report published. Big B turns 70. Felix goes supersonic. Biden-Ryan debate felt more presidential. Apple launches the iPad mini. Gotham prepares for Sandy's visit.

November: Boolell explains Romney's defeat. Zlatan christens stadium with wonder goal. 44% of poll see sweep for Remake. Jimi turns 70. How you know a politician is a socialist. Killer to strike again. Hard-earned anti-inflation credibility at risk.

December: PM claims large victory in village elections. A good reason for men to quit smoking. Municipal voters send multiple signals. Sitar genius dead at 92. State fails more than 9,000 CPE students. Obama reacts to Connecticut tragedy. Kozelidir Person of the Year 2012 attributed to the CPE student for putting up with a badly designed learning process.
     
Read the review for Q1, Q2, Q3.

44% of Poll See Sweep For Remake 2000

That's a big change from two years ago when nobody thought this was a possibility. At that time the A2A had won the general elections a few months earlier and SAJ was sitting pretty at Le Reduit. The latest poll also shows a big reduction in the odds of the Government winning all towns: from 23% to only 1%. 36% also think A2A will win between 1 and 2 towns down from 52%. True the samples are pretty small but we can measure its informational content in 17 days.

But first 130 villages will vote -- 22,726 more voters live in our villages than in our towns -- and this could have a bearing on the municipal elections. You can count on Ramgoolam for this.

Kisann-la Pu Gagn Eleksyon Minisipal?

Li pu enn test mi-manda pu guvernman ek enn indikasyon lafors remake 2000. Guvernman so politik ekonomik depi 2005 finn enn katastrof. Sirtu politik fiskal finn gangrenn nu pei. Problem se ki lopozisyon pli interese rant dan guvernman ki pran puvwar ek sanz politik ekonomik pagla.

Ramgoolam usi finn enn PM bien bien feb. Komie manda li bizin pu rezud problem pei? Enkor 12? XLD dapre lord pe senti li bien bien for. Li merit enn nuvo pri parski kan un deza tann enn minis de finans atak deviz so prop pei? Pa enn move lide u relir serman ki minis fer.

Anu gete ki lelektora pu dir... En atandan u kav vote dan nu dernye sondaz lor http://kozelidir.blogspot.com.

41% of Poll Says 3 Towns Would Go To MMM

If municipals were held these days. None of the 17 voters thought Berenger's side would get all 5 but 23% believe Ramgoolam would not give up any. 17% thought Alliance du coeur would win 3-2. In my opinion the results will depend a lot on the budget Pravind Jugnauth reads in our Parliament soon.