Kifer Nuvo Loto PM Pe Fer Otan Polemik

Ler nun tieke nun gayn konfirmasion ki pri loto PM fek aste li reprezant un pli ti par GDP ki ban avan. 

En Zafer Esansiel Lor BRP Ki Guvernman Pan Mansione

Ki pu tu mwayen kwrasans aniel ant 2025 ek 2035 pli gran ki 2.2%, par en BRP de Rs100 milyar dan GDP 2035 pu bese. Anu rapel ki ant 1968 ek 2005 nu lekonomi in grandi a 5.1% an mwayen e ki ant 2006 ek 2025 nu GDP in grosi a en to mwayen fatra de 3.3% olie 8% ki Sithanen ti promet ek so flat tax 15%. Anfet si nu kontinie gayn sa to fatra de 3.3% la rasio BRP/GDP pu bes de 7.8% a 7% an 2035.

Pena Deba Pu Fer Lor BRP Iniversel a 60 an

Amwin mank rol u pena oken problem pu regle dan pei.

Platform Komun Syndikal Fin Ekrir A Ban Parlmanter

Dan en let sinq paz, zot fin explike, sif a lapwi, ki BRP e nu welfer steyt sutenab me seki pa sutenab se sa pwazon de flat tax 15% ki Sithanen ti servi popilasion apartir 2006. Zot fin dir ki rasio BRP/GDP ki fin okip deba piblik dernie 13 mwa pu bese ek en BRP de 100 milyar rupi an 2035 pu tu to krwasans aniel mwayin siperyer a 2.2% ki en to vreman insinifian konsideran potansiel Moris.

PKS fin osi expos dega katastrofik ki flat tax 15% Sithanen in fer a Moris depi 2006 e kuma sa fin fer an sort ki nu lekonomi de fwa edmi pli tipti ki seki li bizin ete an 2026.

PKS fin osi fer plizir propozision pu ogmant reveni guvernman e fin termin let la par dir ki zot ti va prefer ena ban konsiltasion sinser ek guvernman e fer ban parlmanter remarke ki laful dan manifestasion le 11 Ziyet 2026 dan Por-Lwi in fini vot pu en lagrev zeneral.

U kav lir let la isi.

Lepep Pe Desan Lor Sime Pu Ki Ran So BRP

E aret latak lor so leta providans ki anpes 1/3 Morisyin tom dan lamizer. Ena pagli mami ki alor ki nu system lasante pibilk in krash ti dir resaman ki 18.5 milyar rupi ki nu depanse ladan en fardo mari lur. Anfet si ti bizin depans mem pursantaz GDP ki Sesel e nu ti gayn krwasans 8% ki ti sipoze gayne ek flat tax 15% Sithanen be nu ti bizin depans 93.2 milyar rupi u 5X plis.

Nu mark nu prezans Samdi 11 Ziyet, 13h, Sant Sosial Mari Ren de Lape ki truv anfas Lanbasad de Frans, Por-Lwi.

Anu Redemont En Argiman Bidon Ramgoolam

Depi en sertin letan li pe dir ki si pa ti repus laz ki kumans tus BRP a 65 an be BRP ti pu kut 100 milyar rupi an 2035. Mo ti tan sa promie fwa dan so diskur pu kongre 90em laniverser Ptr. Zordi mon truve ki ena usi sa palab la dan so steytmint le 17 Zin 2025 dan Parlman. E lin redir sa fek la. Se en argiman ki mo ti osi demoli dan Preokipasion Sitwayin, en liv ki ninport kisana kav dawnlod gratwitman. 

Be kuma tiart la montre si depans BRP pu pas de 55.3 milyar a 100 milyar dan 10 an se en ogmantasion de 80%. Me li bon kone ki dan le pase nun gayn ban ogmantasion lor 10 banane buku pli inportan ki sa. Par egzanp BRP ti ogmant par 540% ant 1987/88 ek 1997/98 e 170% ant 1997/98 ek 2007/08 ki inklir ban period kot Ramgoolam ti PM. E malgre sa ban ogmantasion buku pli inportan la zame BRP ti depas plis ki 2% GDP. Si li ti 7.8% GDP an Zin 2025 se akoz ti servi li kuma en zarm elektoral dan omwin 3 eleksion e sirtu akoz zame nu pan gayn krwasans mwayin de 8% ki Sithanen ti promet ek so flat tax 15%. Anfet de 2006 a 2025 mwayen krwasans ti selman 3.3% e sa fin fer an sort ki lekonomi apepre 2.5X pli tipti ki seki li ti bizin ete.

An pasan kifer u kwar zame Ramgoolam koz lor to krwasans mwayin depi 2006?

Labour Turns 90 in A Depressing Atmosphere

And it's not difficult to understand why. We wrote a post on several aspects of the greatest party in Mauritius yesterday. Navin Ramgoolam should seize the opportunity to restore the BRP at 60 and clear the air a little bit. 

Anu Fak-Tiek Diskur Ramgoolam A Nu Ban Gran Dimun

Sanjay Jagatsingh · Fact-check diskur Navin a nu ban vie dimun

Anu Mizir Latak Zeneralize Lor Leta Providans

Pu fer sa nu kumans par estim komie GDP manke depi 2005 par rapor a target krwasans 8% ki Sithanen ti dir nu pu gayne ek so flat tax 15%. Ant 2006 ek 2024 fin mank 6,176 milyar rupi GDP (lamone 2024). Anu get depans guvernmantal pu ledikasion. Dan bidze 2025/26 sa depans la reprezant 3% GDP. Sa ve dir ant 2006 ek 2024 nun depans 185 milyar rupi an mwins (3% x 6,176 milyar). Eski 3% sifizan? Sesel depans 4.3%. Si nu ti depans kuma Sesel be nun depans 266 milyar rupi an mwins lor sa period 19 an la.

Pu lasante mank 154 milyar rupi e se akoz sa mem ki system la fin mari deteriore. Sesel depans 2X plis ki nu e si nu ti fer kuma zot be mank 309 milyar rupi de depans dan nu system lasante piblik lor period ki nu pe konsidere.

O total 1,235 milyar rupi anplis ti bizin rant dan lakes guvernman ziska lafin 2024 si reveni guvernman reprezant 20% GDP. Pu 2025/26 li reprezant 30%. Ek sa rasio la be 1,853 milyar rupi anplis ti bizin rant dan lakes la.

Nun usi azut ban kolon pu trwa lezot krwasans mwayin, 7%, 6% ek 5.1% (nu to krwasans mwayin ant 1968 ek 2005). Mem a 5.1% 487 milyar rupi anplis ti bizin rant dan lakes guvernman.

Byinsir ler li rant dan lakes la en parti ti kav met dan en Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF). Si nu ti investi 50% ban kas ki ti bizin rant dan lakes leta (1,835 milyar) dan sa SWF la a 8% zordi li ti pu vo 1,116 milyar rupi. Ki ti en zafer ase normal pu en pei ek otan dimun malin kuma Moris.

Maverick Remembered

Meet One of the Most Important Political Partnerships in Mauritian History

Mauritius To Fully Reopen Borders At the Worst Possible Time

October 1 is not looking good. We’ve recently recorded some of the fastest growths in Covid cases in the world that has placed us on CDC’s list of very high infection risk. Deaths have also reached record levels and there is a very wide consensus that authorities are heavily underreporting them – less than half of the 160 covid deaths have been attributed to the virus including only 9% of the 11 people who died with the virus in the last three days. 

The ambient denial can be explained by the fact that the trickle-down economics pursued over the past fifteen years have delivered an economy that’s less than half the one expected. While the vaccination rate is above 60% it will not be enough to prevent the situation from worsening especially when we hear the reply of the President of the union of workers of the Ministry of Health when asked whether a patient is safe when she goes to hospital these days: “I’d rather not answer.”

Greatest Party of Mauritius Turns 85

It gave us so many things. Improvement in worker conditions early on. Followed by a decisive victory against proportional representation. Then the most magic of moments: independence. Along with an excellent constitution and electoral system. Newly-born Mauritius was a left-for-dead country even before the oil crises and terrible cyclones of the 1970s but brilliant policies enabled us to make significant progress providing rapid upward social mobility to the many. 

Since 2005 however it is in its darkest period, furiously betraying its DNA. It’s time for the Labour Party to reconnect to what works.

African Countries With the Worst Covid-19 Death Intensity

 

As shown in the above table Mayotte is the African territory with the highest number of covid-19 deaths per capita and that too by a large margin. Its figure for cases per million people was even higher than that for Spain on May 13. This is pretty bad given that it had only 6 cases on March 20. A weak health system is part of the reason. Not unlike in France where thousands of beds have been eliminated in hospitals during the last two decades.

Mauritius is at number four. We wasted precious time in the beginning when politicians were blurting out a lot of dangerous rubbish. We’ve seen how fundamental a good universal public health system is. We need to seriously upgrade ours. This involves a course correction. 

Covid-19 Crisis Not Unprecedented

Nope. As the chart shows our GDP contracted by 10% in 1980 after cyclone Claudette visited us in the dying days of 1979. The contraction estimated by the Ministry of Finance for this year is between 7% and 11% so it’s going to be roughly the same. What’s going to be different is that since 2005 government has been working for the 1% while 41 years ago important components were being added to our welfare state helping tens of thousands of us have more meaningful lives. 

Karl At 200

So he got the boom and bust cycles and inequality right but missed the ability of capitalism to reform itself and the establishment of welfare states which boosted upward social mobility and improved lives. He didn't foresee Marxist regimes killing people on a horrendous scale either. After ideology had become an opium or tool of deception for too many of his followers. But the most interesting thing about Marx was the healthy dose of scepticism he kept about ideas including his own (read with a free subscription). He was relatively unknown during his life with between nine and eleven people attending his funeral.

The MMM started out as a Marxist-Leninist party. Would you believe this? While a recent breakaway faction with interesting initials wants to privatise water.

Free Education Turned 40 in January

I was planning to have a write-up coincide with the anniversary of this crucially important national event. It just didn't happened. Got quite busy on Kozelidir: this is post no. 123. Haven't posted this much in five years. Also the thirteen pieces on The Jag! this year -- a new record -- took a lot of time and effort. You can imagine how much when you read some of these essays and when you consider that only ten such posts were published over three-and-a-quarter years. Still I am not about to let 2017 disappear forever without saying a couple of things.

First is that some people consider Free Education -- for secondary and university students -- as an electoral bribe that was bound to happen after students gathered on the GRNW bridge. Since when does mindfulness always happen after a protest? Our youth took to the streets in May 1975 while the beautiful electoral pledge was announced seventeen or eighteen months later. We know who implemented free education. You may not know who came up with the idea. Returning to pledges wasn't Lepep elected on the promise of a second 'economic miracle'? Still waiting for it eh? Let's not forget Navin Ramgoolam who promised to Put People First but ended up putting most of us last. Or Sithanen who told us poverty would disappear by 2015. Saying something is one thing. Doing it quite another.

The other thing is that granting Free Education was consistent with the extraordinary stuff accomplished by that generation of Mauritians who were born between let's say 1900 and 1945. You know the great people who proved Meade wrong and build the welfare state. Among them a couple of people really stood out: Kher Jagatsingh and his biggest fan, Seewosagur Ramgoolam.

Here's what KJ -- who many consider as the hardworker who has contributed the most to the advancement of Mauritius -- had to say about the implementation of Free Education:

"When almost by accident and force of historical circumstances, I was offered the portfolio of Education and Cultural Affairs in January 1977, I was already aware of the long and arduous task that awaited me. It was a crucial and decisive time to be Minister of Education and Cultural Affairs. This colossal task of reform and development was a real challenge, the like of which I had never faced before."

Phenomenal work doesn't always get recognised overnight.

Mansoor Saying Maintenance of Welfare State Dependent on Growth Rates

According to Le Mauricien. That was on Thursday during the same event where Manou talked to our local cry babies. What bean-counting Ali should instead have said is that his tax experiments have cost tax payers a lot and have made previously sustainable social nets overdependent on robust growth rates. This economic poop of his can be fixed by sufficiently raising taxes of the well-to-do.

What do you think? 

What Killed Many IRS Projects

Depreciating currency and dullness of Mauritian evenings are two reasons we identified last year. Overpricing is a third one. Here are a few more:

1. Getting someone from the World Bank(WB) as Financial Secretary who promises to adapt WB policies to Mauritius. Investors know very well what happens when government allow Bretton-Woods-formatted cowboys to run the show: they screw up public finances and the economy, people eventually take to the streets and governments lose power along the way. That usually doesn't help real estate values to firm up. 
2. An eyebrow-raising event: WB opens an office here in 2008 based on totally fallacious arguments. We didn't need a WB office in the 1970s when we went through very turbulent economic waters so how come we needed one 4 decades later when conditions are infinitely more manageable? Investors definitely interpret this as a signal that a few idiots have decided to send our country to the dogs.
3. Investors were attracted by sexy ingredients that are the foundations for our country's reputation as the poster child of economic development: success in defusing the demographic bomb, rapid industrialisation, progressive taxation, free education and other carefully thought-out components of our welfare state. With the introduction of the Sithanen-Mansoor-Scott-Ramgoolam flat-tax they fear Mauritius may have lost her magic touch and know government will have no money to maintain standards or solve any national problem. Which is essentially what happened over the past 5 years. And that doesn't sell properties.

Guess you've noticed that the policy spaghetti that killed these IRS also killed our savings and made our economy more vulnerable. Things could get out of hand pretty quickly.