Thursday, October 24, 2019

Fact-Checking A Few Sithanen Statements


He said recently that his flat tax had increased government revenue by 20% in the first year of its implementation, that it had attracted a lot of investments from abroad, produced growth rates of more than 5% and had created 10,000 jobs per year. 

1. Government revenue may increase if growth is better or if you increase the tax rate or tax more things. Growth had increased in 2006 because the economy rebounded after the big textile contraction. He should tell us by how much revenue increased in every year since his flat tax was implemented. Besides the main reason to slash top tax rates to 15% was to get 8% growth rates. As chart shows we never got those growth rates even in the decade following the end of the Great Recession – just check how many consecutive years we didn’t even get half of that. And this will cause a government revenue shortfall approaching Rs360bn at the end of the year. 

2. We surely got a lot of FDI (Rs189bn between 2006 and 2018) but this pales in comparison to the Rs570bn savings missing after he killed the savings culture. And the FDI has mostly been speculative ensuring that thousands will not be able to become home-owners. 

3. Finally what kind of jobs are we talking here? Definitely not good jobs. Otherwise growth rates would have been higher, savings would have rebounded and there would never had been the need for the controversial stimulus package.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

How dare you criticize a legend? He will be bank governor soon, after he is unelected.