Monday, January 2, 2017

Mauritius in 2017

Thousands will again be denied a place in a secondary school because of a badly designed learning experience. Our roads will kill another 140. Eight or nine amputations will be performed every week or about 400 for the full year. Mauritius will shutdown around Saint Valentine as soon as we get some heavy rainfall. The CWA will announce harsher cuts right after. We will send a team to the IMO for the first time and get ready to participate in PISA 2018.

Roughly 1,000 people will be thrown into poverty. Every three months. Thanks to the trickle-down economics which has been going on for a decade now. The flat tax trap will cause the GDP shortfall to reach a trillion rupees about half of which would have happened on Lepep's watch. This will make government increasingly unpopular. Voters will keep on getting smarter. And that will be bad news for our political class. The water supply will improve as Bagatelle dam comes into operation in the second half of the year. Potential tragedy of a horrific number of fatalities during Porlwi by Light.

Quite a few of the bad events don't need to happen or can be mitigated. Like how does Mahebourg by Light sound? We could also avoid several road deaths if Lepep recognises that it might have acted in haste and brings an improved point system back.

16 comments:

akagugo said...

Eh ou la! Matam Kwok fél!
But I have to agree with these 'predictions', which are in fact merely statiscal probabilities (my way of killing non-comittal new year resolutions of my entourage). Like the probability of seeing SAJ 'casser la pipe' increasing by the months, like seeing more and more atrocious killings in the name of 'love', like many more cases of admissions linked to abuse of synthetic drugs (but denied by the ever-clearvoyant Gayan), etc, etc. Dodoland, Dodoland, can anyone steer it out of th equagmire?

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

France pe dir bizin pran pasyans pu truv anvol ekonomik. Nwatan toohrooh la vinn 2 mil milyar?

Rishi said...

The Porlwi by night festival could rightly be exported to other parts of the island in succession. And the ministries for Culture and Tourism could ensure that these become a cultural annual event attracting tourists from the region.

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

Kav usi fer bann ti fet ebdomader dan bann baz safe kot 2cm lapli pa pu tuy personn. Sa pu develop nu bann talan artistik. Grat lagitar pli serye ki apran bann zafer initil par ker.

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

Pu 2018 mo pu rod inpe sa bann bel kart la.

akagugo said...

Bann bél kart-la capav montré ou ki kalité déga ki la-fimé ferr dan poumon?

Eski nou otorité ti capav apprann dépi ar la-Sinn ki'nn sibir smog lakoz tro boukou traffic (diesel en partikilié)? Non, o-lié decouraz gro-gro masinn diesel (prouvé toxik par EU) and HFO (heavy fuel oil: tou lizinn ki éna boiler swazirr sa o-lié gaz ki li prop ek boukou boukou pli sérr)? Alorss, kik zour pou éna action pou évitt sa rapidman? Ou-bien pou bizin attann ki nou commence tom-sek couma mouss, lerla capav dans l'éventualité d'une possibilité ultérieure...?

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

Not all of these predictions are exactly like someone dying. We can do something about most of them. Restore progressiveness in the tax structure and the GDP shortfall will stop growing. Reconnect energy prices to their international levels and the economy will start humming nicely again which with progressive taxation will roll back poverty. That's a lot more effective than keep on repeating the following phrase ad nauseam: la pauvrete n'est pas une fatalite.

Tengur tell us that drains in high-risk areas haven't been maintained for a year and that the Ministry of Environment is working at a slo-mo rate. Trickle-down economics at work again?

akagugo said...

It's not only MoEnv which is on slo-mo mode: just have a look around, say, roads and see for yourself - did you see any efforts at basic maintenance (road furniture getting decrepit and shrubs overgrowing roundabouts and everything they can), or any attempt at enforcing even the most basic rules (parking at Gymkhana or even the busiest roads means parking on double yellow lines with impunity) ? No wonder we're at the most morbid times with 6 dead in the first 6 days of the year...

As a whole, almost all of our systems date to when the British left us, and now need more than tweaking now: be it in healthcare, infrastructure, education, mass transport etc. We learn from others and thoroughly need to plan, design and implement what suits us for our common good. Not just a motley assemblage of copy-pasting and then forgetting the most basic of maintenance of the system.

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

Merci a paglanomics.

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

Amazing number of lanes in that clip.

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

18 dimunn fini mor lor larut. Komsi rien nete non?

akagugo said...

Komsi rien nete? Enn la-mor li enn dram terrib pou so la-fami, se kapav enn condanation direk pou lavenir so bann zenfan ou bann paren dependan.
Me pa parett ki ena okenn consideration pou ferr vre sanzman ki pou mett crackdown lor bann bébétt-larou ki pou redwir axidan dan lon-term, dirablman.
Ici ena enn cycle-vicié: la-polis couma dir enn spektaterr passif, donk sofferr kwarr li capav ferr saki li envi kott li envi, ek telman irresponsab li ferr mari ar la-polis, ki perr tansion saki pe lev-ar-li la li potikman connecté. Finalman, zott tou compliss par inaction and irresponsabilité: ki li sitwayin (pa compran/konn axepté so prop torr), politicien (li cautionn interféranss dans institution), ou otorité (li démissionn démissionn divan so dévoir).

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

It's raining quite a bit and Saint Valentine is in a couple days. What will come first? Cuts or shutdown?

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

Porlwi festival will now be spread over five days instead of three. I wonder if organisers are aware that more bad events can happen over five days than over three.

We know what 15cm of rain can do. That was without having 150,000 people wandering in our capital. At night. While eating.

akagugo said...

Like 2 nights of a food festival in the same capital city? Like any other day where people will congregate and concentrate at the same location over a short period of time...
In fact, that's not the only danger in the capital city - picture this: one huge traffic centre with plenty of idling buses, with a taxi stand just next to it, with similarly idling cars, with a very busy highway next to these, with a quasi-permanent plug-flow of vehicles going at snail pace. Got it? Did the Management Audit Bureau conduct some air quality tests some years ago there? And what were the results then? Different from those of Place Margéot, Rose Hill? Or Valentina, Phoenix? And now, what could the results be? In other countries, the Met-Station would publish a communiqué to warn of pollutant levels, possible dangers of exposure, and to advise on the maximum length of such exposure if unavoidable, especially for the vulnerable ones: young and old, esepcially those afflicted with cardio-respiratory conditions. But here: choose your killer, one might say...

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

103 deaths already on our roads which translates into 137 deaths if they are equally likely to happen anytime of the year. Which might not be the case. Bodha finds it serious.