Monday, April 24, 2017

Fifteen Years Later FN Again At Run-off Stage

But this time France is not shocked that the candidate from the far-right survived the first round of the presidential elections. Or that the two parties which have dominated the political scene as far back as people can remember are out of the race. Ms. Le Pen received about 4.5% more votes than her father Jean-Marie did when he beat Lionel Jospin by a little more than half a percentage point. Only to lose massively to Jacques Chirac by the biggest margin ever: 82%-18%.

This time it doesn't look that clear-cut though.


Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

61% expected for Macron. Which means the FN would have added 13% to its score in 15 years. And if a linear trend is maintained Ms. Le Pen should be in L'Elysee before 2030. Of course things don't evolve in a linear fashion and she could be there a lot earlier. There will be elections in 2032 and Marine Le Pen will be 65. But her successor only 44.

The last debate is on May 3.

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

Marine just got a bit closer to calling the shots.