Breaking Down the 2014 Electoral Defeat

We use the 543,667 votes shortfall that would have generated a 60-0 victory for the LP/MMM alliance and combine it with the five reasons we identified for the loss. If we assume that they were equally important that is bringing Sithanen back had the same effect as a dose of proportional representation (PR) or the Rs540bn GDP shortfall – aka Sithanen Toohrooh (ST) – caused by the ruinous Sithanen flat tax that had accumulated by the end of 2014 then each one of these factors set the losing alliance back by 108,733 votes. To get a sense of these numbers we need to remember that Pravind Jugnauth lost by 38 votes in 2005 while Navin Ramgoolam tasted defeat because of 3,496 votes in 2014.