Sunday, May 7, 2017

Why Le Pen Has Already Won

If Macron wins by a 20% margin today, the FN would have cut the 64% gap of its 2002 loss by almost 70%. That's a tectonic shift.

And who says the margin will be that wide?

5 comments:

akagugo said...

That's exactly what is the lesson here: at the first leg, you could say 1French in 5 accepted all the belliquous heritage of the Front National to push the lady into second leg. That percentage is likely to climb, given the resentment stoked by the recent Brexit vote and Trump accession... Let's see how many will be voting for closing down their borders while enjoying visa-free travel elsewhere, including into Dodoland...

akagugo said...

It's now 1 in 3 who voted for Front National... staggering, to say the least.
For whatever reason one may need to go there in the future, will non-French (non-White) be really welcome there?

akagugo said...

As Ms Pulvar already said...

Sanjay Jagatsingh said...

Macron scored higher in areas with higher income and education levels. So there's a blue-collar revolt in these results. Not unlike what we've seen in the UK and the US.

How does that compare to our own 2014 results? What would explain for example that the only riding where Ptr/MMM won the three seats was in No. 14? This probably.

P.S. The FT link doesn't work. But if you're on FB and like their page you can read it for free.

akagugo said...

So, Mr Macron has his cabinet, with an exceptional combination of a strict equality in gender, from both left and right of the French political spectrum while averting the extremes, a good mixture of new blood and experienced career politicians, professional administrators (from ENA) and non-ENA alumni, etc...
And his En Marche! movement is rapidly gaining ground in polls: when, and what will be its high-water mark?