Sunday, August 16, 2009

Victoria Hospital Flu Stats 45 Times Lower

The MBC reported yesterday that out of 500 cases of seasonal influenza recorded there only 10 were of the H1N1 strain. That's a 2% prevalence and is about 45 times less than the rate the World Health Organisation's Global Influenza Surveillance Network has estimated for the southern hemisphere. Have we 38 confirmed cases because we are testing only 12 people per day?

Likewise Vasant Bunwaree was heard saying that out of 288 students exhibiting symptoms of flu only 1 was of the H1N1 variety. If the WHO prevalence rate was 10 times lower than the one it reported then about 26 of these students should be carrying the new virus.

And you can click here to find out which Tamiflu lot number have had their expiration date extended by the FDA.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Le plus grand gagnant de cette psychose est Roche, fabricant de l'inutile Tamiflu!

Anonymous said...

since 6 mnths we'vge been hearing abt z pandemic H1N1but it's z responsibility of the ministry nw.bkoz wen zey heard abt this pandemic 6 mnths b4, they ignored....mtius is surrounded by sean air....ehich implies zat either z virus v entered via airport or harbour???by the way let me add smethng mre....we r nt interestd in knowing z cause of disease...bt hw to safeguard ourselves frm zis virus...n in case anyone has caught the latter wat shud be done???thnx in advance....for considering my post n i hpe actions will be taken as soon as possible by the authorities

Bruno said...

I wrote previously that most people do not have a clue about statistics. It's clear that 2% is a gross underestimate. But who cares? Only a select few understand numbers in Mauritius. Alas, these few are not in the Government ...